MLP: Unmasking Deceptive Cryptocurrencies via Market Fingerprinting

A Multilayer Perceptron Architecture for Detecting Deceptive Cryptocurrencies in Coin Market Capitalization Data

2019-10-14
Harshita Dalal, Muhammad Abulaish
Summary
Problem
Method
Results
Takeaways
Abstract

This paper presents a Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) architecture designed to detect deceptive cryptocurrencies by analyzing data from Coin Market Capitalization (CMC). The authors introduce 24 novel features spanning market performance and social presence, achieving a state-of-the-art accuracy of 98% in identifying "inactive" or scam-related assets.

    ## TL;DR
    In the "Wild West" of digital assets, distinguishing a moonshot from a scam is increasingly difficult. This paper introduces a specialized **Multilayer Perceptron (MLP)** architecture that utilizes 24 newly defined features—ranging from market cap dominance to social media presence—to identify deceptive cryptocurrencies. Testing against 1,000 real-world samples, the model achieved a **98% accuracy**, significantly outperforming traditional machine learning methods.

    ## The Motivation: A Market of Shadows
    As the number of cryptocurrencies skyrocketed (reaching over 2,200 by 2019), so did the complexity of **identity forgery**. Scammers exploit the lack of regulation to launch "ghost" coins or abandoned ICOs. The authors argue that while these projects mimic legitimate ones, their underlying data—specifically their **Trade Volume**, **Supply dynamics**, and **Social Media footprints**—betray their deceptive nature.

    The core challenge is that deception is a deliberate act of transferring false beliefs. In crypto, this manifests as "Identity Forgery" (creating a fictional value proposition). Prior work lacked a comprehensive feature set to catch these nuances; this paper fills that gap.

    ## Methodology: The 24-Feature Anatomy
    The authors curated a balanced dataset of 1,000 cryptocurrencies (500 active, 500 inactive) from Coin Market Capitalization (CMC). To feed the neural network, they extracted features across 7 dimensions:

    1.  **Type**: Distinguishing between independent Coins and platform-based Tokens.
    2.  **Trade Volume**: Measuring Market Cap Dominance and Average Volume.
    3.  **Rank**: Using Intra-class (local) and Inter-class (global) ranking metrics.
    4.  **Supply**: Analyzing circulation vs. maximum supply limits.
    5.  **Age**: Calculating the "Life-span" and "Market Cap Age."
    6.  **Trade Junction**: Counting available exchanges and market pairs.
    7.  **Social Media**: Verifying the presence of whitepapers, source code, and Reddit/Twitter activity.

    ### Neural Architecture
    The proposed MLP uses a deep structure to handle the non-linearities of market behavior:
    *   **Input Layer**: 24 nodes (one per feature).
    *   **Hidden Layers**: Three layers with 500 nodes each, utilizing **ReLU** activation for faster convergence.
    *   **Output Layer**: A **Sigmoid** activation function to classify the asset as 0 (Deceptive) or 1 (Legitimate).

    ![Model Training Accuracy Evolution](https://cdn.atominnolab.com/wisdoc/images/20260520-213d1f09-946c-48fe-9c01-758c5eedf19c/page_004_block_018.png)
    *Figure 1: Comparison of training accuracy across different iterations for MLP and traditional ML algorithms.*

    ## Experimental Results: Precision vs. Noise
    The MLP was compared against Linear Regression, Softmax Regression, and Support Vector Machines (SVM). 

    | Metric | Linear Reg. | Softmax Reg. | SVM | **MLP (Ours)** |
    | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- |
    | **Accuracy** | 93.00% | 94.00% | 95.00% | **98.00%** |
    | **Precision** | 91.35% | 93.14% | 93.27% | **98.98%** |
    | **FPR (False Positive Rate)** | 9.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | **1.00%** |

    The results are striking. The MLP's **False Positive Rate of just 1%** is crucial; in financial applications, mislabeling a legitimate project as a scam (False Positive) is as damaging as missing a scam entirely. The MLP demonstrates a superior ability to find the "signal" in the highly volatile crypto "noise."

    ## Critical Insights & Future Outlook
    The value of this paper lies in its **feature engineering**. By quantifying "Age" and "Social Media Presence" alongside raw financial data, the authors capture the *effort* behind a project. Legitimate projects maintain source code and active community channels, whereas deceptive projects often show "stagnation" in these non-financial metrics even if their price is manipulated.

    **Limitations**: The study relies on "inactive" tags as a proxy for deception. However, some projects fail due to incompetence rather than malice. Future work could benefit from a more granular taxonomy of scams (e.g., distinguishing "Rug Pulls" from "Slow Rugs").

    **Conclusion**: This research provides a robust framework for automated crypto-auditing. As we move toward a more decentralized future, these MLP-based forensic tools will be vital for protecting retail investors from sophisticated financial deception.

Find Similar Papers

Try Our Examples

  • Search for recent papers that use Deep Learning or Graph Neural Networks to detect "Rug Pulls" and "Pump and Dump" schemes in decentralized finance (DeFi).
  • Which 2014 study by Tsikerdekis and Zeadally established the theoretical framework for online identity deception used in this paper's methodology?
  • How have newer architectures like Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCN) or Transformers been applied to time-series cryptocurrency market data for fraud detection?
Contents
MLP: Unmasking Deceptive Cryptocurrencies via Market Fingerprinting
1. TL;DR
2. The Motivation: A Market of Shadows
3. Methodology: The 24-Feature Anatomy
3.1. Neural Architecture
4. Experimental Results: Precision vs. Noise
5. Critical Insights & Future Outlook